Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.153365 0.177375 0.203880 0.235306 0.271554 0.312055 0.360756
2025-11-23 0.114785 0.146791 0.185751 0.236661 0.301451 0.381195 0.486895
2025-11-30 0.094958 0.130221 0.176162 0.240385 0.327892 0.443062 0.606384
2025-12-07 0.078723 0.114304 0.163304 0.235689 0.339971 0.484934 0.702160
2025-12-14 0.067221 0.102562 0.153627 0.232761 0.352406 0.526792 0.800885
2025-12-21 0.059732 0.095266 0.148870 0.235567 0.372431 0.580535 0.921881
2025-12-28 0.055468 0.092118 0.149615 0.246311 0.405088 0.655996 1.083867
2026-01-04 0.051008 0.087950 0.148050 0.252847 0.431316 0.723594 1.240286
2026-01-11 0.047022 0.083975 0.146174 0.258368 0.456066 0.790825 1.402884
2026-01-18 0.043000 0.079382 0.142619 0.260391 0.474709 0.849222 1.556070
2026-01-25 0.038686 0.073708 0.136469 0.256961 0.483042 0.890110 1.681948
2026-02-01 0.034298 0.067348 0.128329 0.248856 0.481714 0.913134 1.776892
2026-02-08 0.032117 0.064987 0.127423 0.254445 0.507093 0.988666 1.980881
2026-02-15 0.029652 0.061783 0.124569 0.255955 0.524800 1.051635 2.167870
2026-02-22 0.027740 0.059446 0.123108 0.259981 0.547772 1.126908 2.387273
2026-03-01 0.025115 0.055306 0.117542 0.254904 0.551429 1.163674 2.531116
2026-03-08 0.022964 0.051918 0.113143 0.251738 0.558638 1.208232 2.695909
2026-03-15 0.021573 0.050031 0.111704 0.254772 0.579459 1.283372 2.934937
2026-03-22 0.020991 0.049894 0.114034 0.266388 0.620457 1.406046 3.292830
2026-03-29 0.020088 0.048907 0.114359 0.273454 0.651845 1.510549 3.620442
2026-04-05 0.019171 0.047777 0.114228 0.279423 0.681281 1.613494 3.955375
2026-04-12 0.018072 0.046081 0.112592 0.281611 0.701926 1.698106 4.255506
2026-04-19 0.016704 0.043556 0.108716 0.277902 0.707815 1.748385 4.477065